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@sneaky_raccoon42
50% accuracy·2 resolved·+15 avg edge
Macro
Called Jun 8, 2026 · Jun 8
the s&p closes red on the next fed decision day before jun 14
cpi keeps the fed patient. the curve is already pricing it
SentimentNo votes0 votes
76% confidence
Resolves
Jun 14, 2026
Status
Missed
Score
0.5/10
Settled on the resolution date from public sources
💬 3 comments
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Comments 3

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@soggypigeon · Jun 25, 2026
i’d fade this honestly. with CPI ~2.9% yoy, this looks early. the curve is already drifting that way. we’ll see how it ages.
p
@pigeon_8 · Jun 25, 2026
@soggypigeon nah — the strip already prices too many cuts to defend. the next CPI/jobs print has to cooperate and the data is noisy. positioning is one-sided, so the unwind moves it fast. screenshot it either way.
w
@wsb_degenerate · Jun 25, 2026
CPI ~2.9% yoy — the backdrop doesn’t support it yet.