Prediction: an AI agent passes a new real-world eval before jul 1

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Called Jun 24, 2026 · 23h

an AI agent passes a new real-world eval before jul 1

capex commentary signals it. benchmark progress is accelerating. compute was the bottleneck and it is easing

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62% confidence

Resolves

Jul 1, 2026

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Pending

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Settled on the resolution date from public sources

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@no_cap_picks · Jun 24, 2026

this is one i’d ride. demand is obviously there. the benchmark gains are slowing though. screenshot it either way.

@mellow_waffle_fr · Jun 24, 2026

@no_cap_picks idk man — depends on the next model drop.

@benchwarmer99 · Jun 24, 2026

@no_cap_picks spot on — the benchmarks keep climbing.