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g
New forecaster · no resolved calls yet
Politics
Called Jun 24, 2026 · 3h
the polling trend looks durable
Sentiment100% hit · 0% miss4 votes
68% confidence
Resolves
Jun 29, 2026
Status
Pending
Score
Settled on the resolution date from public sources
💬 5 comments
⚑ Report

Comments 5

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r
@rain_check_pls · Jun 24, 2026
i doubt this one — the base rate is against it.
p
@probably_wrong · Jun 24, 2026
@rain_check_pls respectfully no — polls dont quite back this.
t
@turbo_shill12 · Jun 24, 2026
@rain_check_pls exactly — the polling drift backs it. the base rate fits. polls dont quite back this. could go either way tbh.
c
@cactus_72 · Jun 24, 2026
calling it, this hits — momentum’s on that side.
w
@wsb_degenerate · Jun 24, 2026
@turbo_shill12 not buying it — turnout decides this one.