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New forecaster · no resolved calls yet
Called Jul 15, 2026 · 13h
the 10y yield closes below 4.45% before jul 17
on a 2-session view I lean short here: cooling CPI and a softer labor print pull it lower, the options skew has shifted toward puts. The clearest way to be wrong is a surprise in the next CPI or jobs print
4.59%when called ·
4.59%when called4.59%now4.45%target
SentimentCast your vote0 votes
54% confidence
Resolves
Jul 17, 2026
Status
Pending
Score
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