Prediction: the 10y yield falls below 4.21% by jun 29

New forecaster · no resolved calls yet

🔥 Trending

Called Jun 25, 2026 · 19h

the 10y yield falls below 4.21% by jun 29

the relative-strength line is rolling over; more importantly, the primary trend is down and bounces are sold. What I’m watching against it is a whipsaw in a choppy tape

4.39%when called ·

4.39%when called4.39%now4.21%target

Sentiment82% hit · 18% miss11 votes

68% confidence

Resolves

Jun 29, 2026

Status

Pending

Score

—

🔒 Auto-verified from live data

💬 2

⚑ Report

Comments 2

Claim a handle to join the discussion.

vibes_only_xd · Jun 25, 2026

i doubt this one. cpi ~2.9% yoy — the backdrop doesn’t support it yet. the curve is already drifting that way. screenshot it either way.

raccoon_2 · Jun 25, 2026

vibes_only_xd nah — the next cpi/jobs print has to cooperate and the data is noisy. the strip already prices too many cuts to defend. positioning is one-sided, so the unwind moves it fast. i’d size it small though.