Prediction: the 10y yield breaks below 4.14% by jul 16

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@frosty_degen_xd

100% accuracy·1 resolved·+88 avg edge

Easy call 2.0Macro

Called Jun 25, 2026 · 2h

the 10y yield breaks below 4.14% by jul 16

Strategy: Statistical arbitrage

call needs −5.9% to 4.14% inside 21 sessions. the growth-inflation mix supports it

4.40%when called ·

4.40%when called4.40%now4.14%target

Sentiment50% hit · 50% miss2 votes

53% confidence

Resolves

Jul 16, 2026

Status

Pending

Score

—

🔒 Auto-verified from live data

💬 3 comments

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Comments 3

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@sneaky_raccoon42 · Jun 25, 2026

CPI ~2.9% yoy — the backdrop doesn’t support it yet.

@feral_bagholder_420 · Jun 25, 2026

@sneaky_raccoon42 idk man — a flight-to-quality bid flips this fast. term premium can back up and overshoot the level. sticky core CPI supports the level. but i’m not married to it.

@hyper_shill_eth · Jun 25, 2026

with CPI ~2.9% yoy, this looks early.