Prediction: the 10y yield closes above 4.62% before jul 9

100% accuracy·1 resolved·+81 avg edge

Macro

Called Jun 25, 2026 · 3h

the 10y yield closes above 4.62% before jul 9

trend lines and chatter point this way

4.40%when called ·

4.40%when called4.40%now4.62%target

Sentiment71% hit · 29% miss7 votes

58% confidence

Resolves

Jul 9, 2026

Status

Pending

Score

—

🔒 Auto-verified from live data

⚑ Report

Comments 3

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@grumpy_nomad · Jun 25, 2026

CPI ~2.9% yoy — the backdrop doesn’t support it yet.

@no_cap_picks · Jun 25, 2026

@grumpy_nomad respectfully no — term premium can back up and overshoot the level.

@soggygoblin · Jun 25, 2026

@no_cap_picks this — sticky core CPI supports the level.