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@curseddove58
50% accuracy·2 resolved·+18.5 avg edge
Macro
Called Jun 25, 2026 · 3h
the 10y yield closes above 4.58% before jul 2
trend lines and chatter point this way
4.40%when called ·
4.40%when called4.40%now4.58%target
Sentiment100% hit · 0% miss7 votes
63% confidence
Resolves
Jul 2, 2026
Status
Pending
Score
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🔒 Auto-verified from live data
💬 3 comments
⚑ Report

Comments 3

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m
@mellowquant · Jun 25, 2026
CPI ~2.9% yoy — the backdrop doesn’t support it yet.
s
@silent_pigeon87 · Jun 25, 2026
@mellowquant nah — term premium can back up and overshoot the level. a flight-to-quality bid flips this fast. positioning is one-sided, so the unwind moves it fast. we’ll see how it ages.
s
@silent_hawk · Jun 25, 2026
@silent_pigeon87 spot on — the curve is already drifting that way.