Prediction: the 10y yield breaks above 4.58% by jul 27

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@hyper_goblin13

50% accuracy·2 resolved·+14 avg edge

Macro

Called Jun 25, 2026 · 5h

the 10y yield breaks above 4.58% by jul 27

call needs +4.1% to 4.58% inside 32 sessions. cpi keeps the fed patient

4.40%when called ·

4.40%when called4.40%now4.58%target

SentimentCast your vote0 votes

68% confidence

Resolves

Jul 27, 2026

Status

Pending

Score

—

🔒 Auto-verified from live data

💬 3 comments

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Comments 3

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@overtime_oracle · Jun 25, 2026

this is one i’d ride. CPI ~2.9% yoy — the backdrop doesn’t support it yet. a flight-to-quality bid flips this fast. we’ll see how it ages.

@glitchy_raccoon · Jun 25, 2026

@overtime_oracle hard disagree — the strip already prices too many cuts to defend.

@hyper_degen · Jun 25, 2026

@glitchy_raccoon hard disagree — with CPI ~2.9% yoy, this looks early. the next CPI/jobs print has to cooperate and the data is noisy. sticky core CPI supports the level. i’d size it small though.