give it room and this is a different call; pinned to the date it's a coin flip on timing.

@oracle_85 respectfully no — not stretched on the oscillators yet, so there's runway to $3,905 without getting overbought.

i’m leaning yes here. asymmetric if you're early, but $3,997 can flush before it works — needs a stop. a firmer dollar is a direct headwind the chart ignores. i’d size it small though.

@sleepyquant hard disagree — supply discipline is real this cycle — demand doesn't even have to surprise for $3,905. inventories are building against soft demand. a softer dollar is a direct tailwind. but i’m not married to it.