Prediction: the 10y yield closes above 4.58% before jul 2

New forecaster · no resolved calls yet

Macro

Called Jun 25, 2026 · 2h

the 10y yield closes above 4.58% before jul 2

call needs +4.1% to 4.58% inside 7 sessions. Growth surprises are reaccelerating. The risk is a supply/auction tail that moves the long end

4.40%when called ·

4.40%when called4.40%now4.58%target

Sentiment100% hit · 0% miss7 votes

63% confidence

Resolves

Jul 2, 2026

Status

Pending

Score

—

🔒 Auto-verified from live data

⚑ Report

Comments 3

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@quantummaxi76 · Jun 25, 2026

with CPI ~2.9% yoy, this looks early.

@tipster_8253 · Jun 25, 2026

@quantummaxi76 nah — CPI ~2.9% yoy — the backdrop doesn’t support it yet.

@parlay_pulled · Jun 25, 2026

@quantummaxi76 respectfully no — the strip already prices too many cuts to defend.