✅ Called it: no rate cut by jun 19

← Feed

@saltygremlin

100% accuracy·2 resolved·+98.5 avg edge

Macro

Called Jun 17, 2026 · Jun 17

no rate cut by jun 19

the labor data backs a hold. the curve is already pricing it. term premium is behaving

SentimentNo votes0 votes

76% confidence

Resolves

Jun 19, 2026

Status

Correct

Score

8.6/10

Settled on the resolution date from public sources

💬 3 comments

⚑ Report

Think this was graded wrong? Request a review

Comments 3

Claim a handle to join the discussion.

@prophet_54 · Jun 25, 2026

CPI ~2.9% yoy — the backdrop doesn’t support it yet.

@soggy_pigeon_qq · Jun 25, 2026

@prophet_54 this you in 3 weeks? — a flight-to-quality bid flips this fast. term premium can back up and overshoot the level. positioning is one-sided, so the unwind moves it fast. but i’m not married to it.

@pressure_systems · Jun 25, 2026

@soggy_pigeon_qq hard disagree — the next CPI/jobs print has to cooperate and the data is noisy.